Description

This analysis provides a forecast of XLM prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-09-28 0.228501 0.263366 0.302885 0.351224 0.409061 0.476421 0.561361
2025-10-05 0.176918 0.222681 0.280392 0.359537 0.466855 0.609672 0.818154
2025-10-12 0.146872 0.196782 0.264756 0.366265 0.517845 0.742265 1.112487
2025-10-19 0.126783 0.178309 0.252860 0.372104 0.564964 0.877699 1.452594
2025-10-26 0.113431 0.166198 0.246586 0.383088 0.620134 1.037874 1.888576
2025-11-02 0.101535 0.153934 0.237301 0.386298 0.661627 1.184333 2.354249
2025-11-09 0.091477 0.142839 0.227707 0.386416 0.696570 1.327153 2.870637
2025-11-16 0.082691 0.132489 0.217554 0.383183 0.723681 1.461166 3.426266
2025-11-23 0.074887 0.122731 0.206892 0.376785 0.742477 1.582208 4.007290
2025-11-30 0.070483 0.118302 0.205081 0.387181 0.799268 1.808922 5.004746
2025-12-07 0.064539 0.110376 0.195633 0.380169 0.815057 1.939117 5.784314
2025-12-14 0.060409 0.105317 0.190991 0.382504 0.853528 2.142714 6.945065
2025-12-21 0.056234 0.099812 0.184952 0.381170 0.883948 2.339085 8.242541
2025-12-28 0.053671 0.097159 0.184387 0.392382 0.950600 2.673431 10.406175
2026-01-04 0.051049 0.094095 0.182550 0.400257 1.010608 3.014228 12.953620
2026-01-11 0.048568 0.091046 0.180342 0.406829 1.069009 3.378151 16.050786
2026-01-18 0.046728 0.089121 0.180348 0.419067 1.148491 3.862131 20.515101
2026-01-25 0.044435 0.086006 0.177276 0.422644 1.201926 4.273288 25.165458
2026-02-01 0.042122 0.082626 0.173192 0.422775 1.244385 4.663774 30.373528
2026-02-08 0.039787 0.078984 0.168078 0.419176 1.273329 5.012559 35.953941
2026-02-15 0.037453 0.075144 0.162076 0.412057 1.288015 5.304896 41.689098
2026-02-22 0.036325 0.073921 0.162349 0.423628 1.376993 6.039481 54.112488
2026-03-01 0.034283 0.070430 0.156574 0.415822 1.388292 6.361502 62.631993